‘Less than 1% probability’ that Earth’s energy imbalance increase occurred naturally,' say Princeton and GFDL scientists

Wednesday, Jul 28, 2021

In a new paper, led by AOS Graduate Student Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, a CIMES researcher, with co-authors David Paynter (GFDL) and AOS Faculty Member V. Ramaswamy, director of GFDL, the authors used satellite observations from 2001 to 2020 and found that Earth’s “energy imbalance” is growing. The paper, published July 28 in Nature Communications, found that it is exceptionally unlikely (< 1% probability) that this observed trend can be explained by natural variations in the climate system alone.  According to the study's authors, the satellite record provides clear evidence of a human-influenced climate system.

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