GFDL Informal Seminar

Fri, Dec 7, 2018, 10:30 am to 12:00 pm

General circulation and earth system models (ESMs) that are used to make global climate projections are computationally expensive to run. Furthermore, as full-complexity models take time to develop and test, and intercomparisons take several years to coordinate, simpler models have become an important tool in assessing climate responses to a broad pathway of emissions. A recent example is the IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C, where results needed to be produced quickly and timely engagement with stakeholders is critical.

We have developed a simple open-source earth system model emulator, FaIR, which projects global mean temperature responses as a function of input emissions and radiative forcing. FaIR contains an interactive carbon cycle which replicates the behaviour of complex ESMs, and can be tuned to simulate a particular model, whereas emissions and forcing relationships are based on the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and more recent peer-reviewed literature. The advantage of being a simple model is that large probabilistic ensembles can be run, where input parameters such as aerosol radiative forcing are varied within the assessed ranges of uncertainty, to produce a range of plausible temperature projections for a given emissions pathway.

Location: 
Smagorinsky Seminar Room 209
Speaker(s): 

David Bradford Energy and Environmental Policy Seminar

Mon, Feb 18, 2019, 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm
Location: 300 Wallace Hall

GEO Department Lecture

Tue, Feb 19, 2019, 12:30 pm to 1:30 pm
Location: Guyot 10

PWiGS Spring Mixer

Tue, Feb 19, 2019, 6:00 pm to 8:00 pm
Location: Guyot Great Hall

GFDL Lunchtime Seminar

Wed, Feb 20, 2019, 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm
Location: Smagorinsky Seminar Room 209

Princeton Energy & Environment Table

Wed, Feb 20, 2019, 6:30 pm to 7:30 pm
Location: Mathey College PDR

Environmental Geology & Geochemistry Seminar (EGGS)

Thu, Feb 21, 2019, 12:30 pm to 1:30 pm
Location: Guyot 220

GFDL Formal Seminar

Thu, Feb 21, 2019, 2:00 pm to 3:00 pm
Location: Smagorinsky Seminar Room 209

PEI Taplin Environmental Lecture

Thu, Feb 21, 2019, 4:30 pm to 6:00 pm
Location: McCosh Hall, Room 50

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Fri, Feb 22, 2019, 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm
Location: Guyot 220

AOS Program Biogeochemistry Seminar

Fri, Feb 22, 2019, 2:00 pm to 3:00 pm
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