How much global warming due to fossil fuel burning should we expect?
The climate sensitivity to increasing CO2 is difficult to measure directly, and estimates of expected global warming largely rely on climate model calculations. With now 40 years of satellite observations, the observational record may be sufficiently long and qualitatively high enough to constrain model results, in particular also the largest uncertainty: the cloud radiative feedback.
Unfortunately - or intriguingly - it appears that in this best observed period cllm follows a peculiar trajectory that stands out compared to the previous -100
the instrumental record, and to model projections of future climate. Open q regarding the observed warming "hiatus", the "hot spot controversy" and th
of clouds on climate sensitivity have a common denominator in the questio sets the tropical maximum surface moist static energy relative to the average.